Been a quiet week or so – very little on, and although I initially looked at some of the internationals, even Under 21’s – nothing felt right, and having kept an eye on numerous of the ones I picked out, we’d have ended with maybe 3/4 out of 6.
Having looked at this midweek period – it looks promising. The catch being its all later in the week as we have the Easter Weekend program of football – meaning there are a lot of Friday games. Nothing tickles my fancy in terms of over 2.5 goals, but I’ve picked a handful of games for Over 1.5 Team Goals – a lot of good teams playing at home against some weaker opposition, and for them to score 2 goals it’s terrific value!
Here’s my 6 games that make up a 35/1 acca: (TG’s = Team Goals)
Tours vs Lorient: Lorient Over 1.5 TG’s @ 4/5 (Ligue 2, Friday – 1900 KO)
Tours are in the bottom 3, and if you look at their home record – even on the odd occasion they win, they still concede 2 goals. Pretty much 90% of games they have conceded 2 in when playing at home. Lorient are in the top 3 and on a good run of form – away from home they have scored 2 or more in 11 of 16 games – even bagging 3 against Montpellier in the cup!
Empoli vs Salernitana: Empoli Over 1.5 TG’s @ 4/6 (Serie B, Thursday – 1930 KO)
Empoli are top of the league, and score plenty of goals. If you look back, the last time they failed to score was September when playing at home, and in terms of 2 or more, 11 of 16 home games they have achieved this. Salernitana are not pushover in all fairness, but I can’t see them dealing with the Empoli firepower – the front two of Caputo and Donnarumma have scored a combined 40 goals in the league this season!
Derby vs Sunderland: Derby Over 1.5 TG’s @ 4/6 (Championship, Friday – 1945 KO)
Derby face bottom of the table Sunderland at home, and all things considered I can’t see Derby not scoring 2. They have some tremendous players, and Sunderland have big issues defending. Derby have only won once in 10 games, so this is an ideal opportunity to get back to winning ways.
Norwich vs Fulham: Fulham Over 1.5 TG’s @ 1/1 (Championship, Friday – 1500 KO)
Norwich vs Fulham should have goals – no doubt. But for me, Evs for Fulham to score 2 is great value! With Ryan Sessegnon on fire, Alexander Mitrovic looking dangerous and a team in general that creates plenty of chances – excellent value! Norwich concede plenty as well, so that tops it for me. Easily the pick of the lot.
Br Rovers vs Bury: Br Rovers Over 1.5 TG’s @ 10/11 (League One, Friday – 1500 KO)
Rovers are very good at home – perhaps one of the best in the league for goals. High scoring, but concede plenty too which makes for good games. Bury are bottom of the league, and concede plenty. At home, against a defensively poor side – 2 goals for Rovers looks a good bet @ 10/11.
Swindon vs Morecambe: Swindon Over 1.5 TG’s @ 5/6 (League Two, Friday – 1500 KO)
Swindon have incredible away form bar the last 3/4 games, but against an average Morecambe side, I feel they can take their goalscoring exploits into their home fixtures. Win, lose or draw – they always seem to score a couple of goals. With 4 wins in their last 5 at home, but then 5 losses in a row before that – this is really a 50/50 game but I’m going with it!
The first game is Thursday, the rest on Friday.
Best of luck!