With the only good football over the 3-4 days falling on today and tomorrow, I have formulated a decent sized accumulator, two tips per day. The two I posted this morning, and two more:
‘At a Glance’
Derby -1 Asian Handicap @ 6/5
Tottenham vs Leicester BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10
Sunderland vs Swansea BTTS @ 1/1
Newcastle vs Man Utd BTTS @ 1/1
Derby vs Reading: Derby -1 Asian Handicap @ 6/5 (Tuesday – 1945 KO, Championship)
Derby are in very good form at home. In their last 8 games – 7 wins and 6 of those have been by the -1 required in this bet. A 1-0 bet would be enough to void it as you know, but with that sort of record – added to the fact they have taken Reading’s lead goalscorer (Nick Blackman) I really think they will win and win well.
Before Saturday’s 2-2 draw with Huddersfield, Reading had lost 6 away games in a row, 3 of which by 2 or more. Even with Blackman they were struggling to find the net. For me, this should be a cert!
Newcastle vs Man Utd: BTTS @ 1/1 (Tuesday – 1945 KO, Premier League)
You may think I’m nuts backing Newcastle to score, but as a fan – I have seen over the last few years that they turn up for the majority of ‘Top 6’ games. Victories over Spurs and Liverpool, added to good performances against Arsenal, Chelsea and Man Utd this season. At home they have scored 14 of their 19 goals, and playing against an out of form Man Utd could find them getting a point.
The likes of Moussa Sissoko is the king of what I call being a ‘Big Time Charlie’. He believes he is a Champions League player and in my eyes his performances go up 25% when playing a team with a stature such as Man Utd. Henri Saviet is unlikely to play as he probably did not sign in time to be registered. At the weekend a new 3-5-2 formation worked well, with Kevin Mbabu impressing on the left side of the 5. Chancel Mbemba has done well since signing, and Alexander Mitrovic/Ayoze Perez have formed a decent partnership – but have lacked goals. Both will improve though, and a goal today will do them the world of good.
With Man Utd being taken all the way by Sheffield Utd on Saturday evening, Martial being caught having a fling and the world’s media on the back of Louis van Gaal – for me it all lines up to a pressurized game at St James’ Park where all the pressure will be on the away side. If the fans get behind Newcastle early doors it could have a telling effect.
Swansea vs Sunderland: BTTS @ 1/1 (Wednesday – 1945 KO, Premier League)
This is a bit of a relegation 6 pointer. Sunderland win and they will reach rivals Newcastle, while if Swansea win they will pull further away from trouble. Both scored but lost in the FA Cup, in differing circumstances. Sunderland opened the scoring but lost 3-1 to Arsenal, while Swansea opened the scoring but lost 3-2 to Oxford! Both will be fairly low but see this as a chance to grab 3 points.
Swansea have just 4 BTTS games at home this season, while Sunderland have 6 in 10 (7 in 11 inc the FA Cup) and have had 4 BTTS away from home in a row. Despite the lack of Swansea goals I still think this is an excellent bet!
Tottenham vs Leicester: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10 (Wednesday, 1945 KO – Premier League)
This is a repeat of Sunday’s FA Cup tie that ended 2-2. With the likes of Kane, Alli and Vertonghen returning for Spurs, and Drinkwater, Mahrez and possibly Vardy returning for Leicester – it should be another good game, with more chance of goals. Okazaki should really start as he caused Spurs a lot of problems, while someone with a bit better quality than Chadli might see a better performance from Spurs – Lamela springs to mind!
Spurs are very good at home but always concede one it seems. Leicester have scored in 90% of their away games, but have issues keeping a clean sheet – just 2 away all season. I fancy a very similar game to Sunday.
This pays exactly 20/1, and in terms of double both are around 3.5/1
Best of luck