Yesterday was the worst of the week. First time I went with a little away value and none came off, with Bayern failing to score for the first time league wise in ages, Atletico drew 1-1 while Evian somehow lost 1-0 to a 10 man Sochaux.
Today we are looking at a 20/1 Accumulator, with what I feel are some sound bets:
1. Maidstone Win @ 1/1 vs Concord (1500 KO, National League South)
Maidstone have won their last 8 games in a row, and 4 of their 6 away games. Interestingly they have only scored 12 in 13 games, and won 8 games – because they have conceded just 6! Their away form is better than their home form, with 4 wins and a draw/loss apiece, but the wins have been 3 2-0’s and a 1-0. Concord are in awful form, losing 6 of their last 10 games, and 7 of their last 10 home games. Overall, in 14 games they have conceded 29 goals. The basics are Maidstone are experts and winning to nil!
2. Bourg Peronnas-Auxerre Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (1300 KO, Ligue 2)
Peronnas are on fire this season! Sitting in the top 6 after promotion, their key weapon has been their attack – scoring 21 goals in 12 games, but also conceding 20. At home, 5 over 2.5’s in 6 games – with 22 goals coming in said 6 ties.
Auxerre have a total of 25 goals in 12 games, and only 4 over 2.5’s in their 12 games so far. However, 15 goals have come in their 6 away games, with 3 over 2.5’s in 6. Peronnas could score 3 on their own if needed, but with a dodgy defence I can see Auxerre grabbing at least one.
Bourg Peronnas – 7 over 2.5’s in their last 10 home games.
Auxerre – 10 over 2.5’s in their last 15 away games.
3. Zenit St Petersburg Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 6/5 vs Mordovia Saransk (1400 KO, Russian PL – NAP)
Zenit have scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 games, and have scored 3 or more in 4 of their last 5 matches – against Lyon, Tosno, Anzhi and Rostov. In their last home tie vs Mordovia, they won 5-0 and with Hulk, Artem Dzyuba and Oleg Shatov all in scoring form (20 between the 3 of them) you fancy them to score a hatful against an out of form team.
Mordovia have lost 4 of their last 5 away games, and 6/10 overall. In recent games they have conceded 6 to CSKA and 3 to Rostov, and neither have an attacking force like Zenit. If you go back 20 home games, Zenit have won 15, scoring 3+ on 7 occasions, and 2+ on 14 occasions, however with 18 in their last 5 both overall and at home, you’d fancy them to fill their boots here!
4. Leverkusen-Wolfsburg BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (1730 KO, Bundesliga)
This one is mainly going with my gut, and previous matches. In terms of records in the market form wise, it’s going with the worst set of stats this season – Wolfsburg have managed just 4/10 overall and 5/10 at home, while Leverkusen are 4/10 overall and 1/10 away.
But – the last 5 meetings overall: 5-4, 4-1, 3-1, 3-1, 1-1.
The last 5 meets in Wolfsburg: 4-1, 3-1, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2
Wolfsburg have won the last 5 home meetings, but Leverkusen always seem to score, and recently they are scoring plenty. With Javi Hernandez and Stefan Kiessling, as well as some corking midfielders like Hakan Çalhanoğlu, I fancy them to score again. Like mentioned, this ended 5-4 in February!
The double I like is 2 + 3 @ 4/1, while all four as mentioned pays around 20/1
Best of luck!