With Cheltenham starting on Tuesday, football takes a bit of a back seat for once! We will still post tips if appropriate on those days. Tomorrow see’s a few good games about, as usual we are ignoring the Cup games as they are far too unpredictable – just look at the last few days!
This weekend has been a mixed bag – mostly on the money, but the likes of Dover and Real Madrid really sucker-punched the tips. In terms of my selections over Saturday and Sunday – 9/14, then a few picks like Norwich -1 @ 2/1, Bristol City + BTTS @ 2/1 etc
Here is my Acca for tomorrow @ 17/1:
1. Jong Twente-NEC Over 3.5 Goals @ 11/10
The previous game this season ended 5-1 to NEC, and in both’s last 5 league games, all have had between 3 and 7 goals in (three apiece, two failed on over 3.5). In terms of Over 3.5 Goals all season – NEC’s record sits at just over 50% (14 Over, 13 Under), Twente’s is just under 50% (12 Over, 15 Under). NEC have won their last 5 games, and well – we are expecting a heavy win, possible 4-0 or even 4-1/5-2 – something along those lines. Twente are usually good for a goal or two, so NEC + BTTS is a good option, as is -1 Goal @ 17/20
2. Entella-Cittadella BTTS @ 21/20
If you look at their last 5 games in the league – both read 2/5 BTTS. So, not a good bet you think…Look at Home/Away form – In Entella’s last 5 home games, 4/5 are BTTS. In Cittadella’s last 5 away games – 4/5 are BTTS. Serie B is comparable to Argentina’s leagues and Ligue 2 in France – very rarely will you find a game under Evens for BTTS!
3. Cordoba-Getafe BTTS @ 5/4
Both these sides are in pretty poor form – Cordoba have lost 5/5 games, and 3/5 at home. Getafe have lost 3/5 overall and 5/5 away. However – despite both being low scorers (averaging less than a goal per game) both have decent BTTS record. At home, Cordoba’s record reads 4/5 (including Real Madrid) and Getafe’s away from home is 3/5. The meeting this season between the two ended 1-1 as well.
4. Lok Zagreb-Rijeka Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
In the Croatian 1st Division, these two have better-than 66% Over 2.5 Goals records. Lok Zagreb’s is 16 Over, 8 Under. Rijeka’s is 15 Over, 9 Under (so pretty much 2 in 3 games go over). These two played 2 times in the Cup recently (just 5 days ago, and in Feb). Both times Rijeka won, with 4-0 and 4-1 wins. In their only 17 meetings, 12 have gone Over 2.5, and that includes 6 in the last 6. BTTS might be a risk, Rijeka the strong side and even with 8 goals in the last 2 games against them! Going to stick with gut and say Over 2.5 @ 4/5
Statistically well researched – and with the extra depth we are going into the wins should start to come thick and fast, hopefully! More Friday’s are what we are looking for!
Best of luck