This has begun rather slowly, with quite a bit of bad luck over it’s first two weeks. Overall, in the two lots, there’s been 4 correct tips in 8 but there is certainly something in this. On paper all we pick are games that seem like certain winners, but obviously we can’t see the red cards and poor performances that have come!
Anyway – onto today. 4 tips from our 3 football writers:
Norwich vs Man City: Man City -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 21/20 (Premier League, 1245) – Will
This for me is very good value. Norwich are leaking goals, and up against a Man City side capable of blowing teams away in minutes (ala Villa last weekend) I think the likes of Aguero will have a field day against a relegation cert. They played off in the Cup in January, and Man City won 3-0. I really can’t see anything other than a hefty win!
Monchengladbach vs Frankfurt: M’gladbach -1 Goal Handicap @ 6/5 (Bundesliga, 1430) – Will
This is another great bet in my eyes. Gladbach have the 3rd best home record in the league behind Dortmund and Bayern, with 9 wins from 13. Scored nearly 30, and have been blowing teams away in getting back to form that saw them get into the Champions League. Frankfurt have lost 7/12 away, and it’s mainly been 2-0’s and 3-0’s against fairly weak opposition in comparison. Same as above, but worse. If anything, the regular handicap is better value as I really don’t see anything other than a 2-3 goal win.
Dijon Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 4/5 (French Ligue 2, 1300) – Scott
The French leagues are not notorious for goals – however, this fixture between Dijon and Nimes tends to rain goals. Both teams to score has occurred in the last 8 fixtures between the clubs.. In the last 4 games at home against Nimes, Dijon have weighed in with 13 goals (18.104.22.168), and based on their form this season, they are most certainly capable of continuing this trend. They score on average 2.14 goals a game at home, whilst Nimes concede on average 1.64 goals a game away from home – keeping just 1 clean sheet all season. Dijon are top of the table currently, and will be fired up for this game. They will be looking to potentially put more distance between themselves and the teams below them in their quest to reach Ligue 1.
Bournemouth vs Swansea @ 21/20 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premier League) – Kieron
Two Premier League strugglers placed 14th and 16th respectively, both teams SHOULD be safe from the drop and really only have pride left to play for. Bournemouth across the season have consistently conceded and have done so on 45 occasions, 21 of those have come on home soil – in fairness before their 3-1 victory over Newcastle they had kept two clean sheets on the bounce against Southampton and Watford. Before the two previously mentioned clean sheets though they managed to conceded four in seven matches.
Swansea are a side that don’t have massive goals for or goals against tallies with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded, although they have only found the net on 28 occasions they have scored in nine of their last 10 Premier League games. Bournemouth have scored 17 of their 35 goals at home this season, whilst Swansea have conceded 19 of their 37 away. I can understand why this has been priced at 21/20 but given the fact Swansea have managed to score a little amount of goals but very consistently alongside Bournemouth’s 45 goals conceded aswell as the fact Bournemouth have only failed to score at home on four occasions I feel the price is too good to miss.
As an accumulator, this pays in the region of 15.5/1.
Best of luck
The Accutipster Team