With all four of our football tipsters in action this weekend, rather than trying to come up with an accumulator myself, and struggling to find four games I am sure of, I have decided to take the opinion of our other writers into account and put together the four NAP’s into one accumulator bet. Effectively, the best of all worlds.
I will outline by each bet who has picked what:
For all intensive purposes, this looks like the best bet of the day for me.
Pescara are good at home – 9 wins in 13 games, scoring a load of goals. Concede rate isn’t ideal, but they usually score much more than they concede. They have won 7 of their last 10, scoring 20 goals.
On the other side, Ascoli have lost 10/13 away games, and most of which by 3-4 goals. In their last 10, they have lost 8 and conceded 26! Against the better teams like Crotone, Cagliari and Cesena (the 3 C’s) they have conceded 3-4 goals, while they are doing similar against poorer sides like Entella and Salernitana.
23/20 is huge in my opinion – especially with the safety aspect.
Aberdeen’s home record is impressive as you would expect with them sitting in 2nd position in the table – they have won 9 of their 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing just the 1 (that game was to today’s opponents, St Johnstone). They have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their 13 home games, so just over 50%. However, the reason that I’m picking this as my NAP is mostly down to St Johnstone’s away form of late. They are shipping in the goals on the road at the moment (they concede on average 2 goals a game away from home), conceding 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 away matches, and Adam Rooney must be licking his lips at the prospect of facing this leaky back four this afternoon.
I’m ignoring the fact that St Johnstone won this fixture 5-1 earlier on in the season – their form is awful currently and I really fancy Aberdeen to put at least a couple past them today.
I honestly don’t know why this is prices so high, Mansfield are fighting to get into the playoffs whereas Newport are 20th. I see this being a tight match compared to just a simple victory for Mansfield. The one statistic that makes me question the price is Newport’s home record of Over 2.5 goals. Mansfield need to maintain their form and keep in the hunt for playoffs whereas Newport need to get away from the bottom, both teams should be going for the win and when Newport play at home there is usually goals and plenty of them.
Newport at home have had 10 Over 2.5’s and just the 4 under, Mansfield away average 2.5 per game, the statistics behind this game are all there and at a price of 43/40 – It’s a really good shout.
16th placed Huddersfield welcome an Ipswich side who come into this on the back of three straight defeats. Huddersfield find themselves in decent form throughout February, taking seven points from a possible 12. Ipswich still have the chance of a late push for the promotion places, whereas Huddersfield although probably safe will be desperate to enlarge the distance between them and the relegation zone.
These two teams have both consistently scored goals throughout the season, both boasting BTTS %’s of 50 and above. For a team in 16th position Huddersfield scoring 44 goals is far from a poor return, in fact only six teams in the league have scored more goals, Ipswich for the season rest on 40 goals. In terms of defensive power both teams have the tendency to leak goals; Huddersfield have conceded 45 making them the 7th poorest defence in the league, whilst Ipswich have conceded 40 – the most for a side in the top ten. In terms of Home V Away; Huddersfield have scored 25 of their 44 goals at home and conceded 19 of their 45. Away side Ipswich have scored 20 of 40 goals and conceded 23 of 40 whilst away from home.
Huddersfield have scored in seven consecutive home matches, the last in which they failed to score was back in November in a 0-2 defeat to Middlesbrough. Ipswich have scored in four of their last seven matches away from home, failing to find the net against; QPR, Birmingham and Burnley all of which have better defensive records than Huddersfield.
This pays a total of 15/1 with most bookmakers – with a small variation between some.
Best of luck!
The Accutipster Team