A decent day overall on the site yesterday – 2/4 for myself, and 2/3 for Kieron and Sam, with the four selections that lost all just a goal off!
Today looks a very quiet one overall, with little value to be found on the continent I have decided to stick with what I know, and that is the Premier League. There are three games, and quite frankly all look tough to call. Liverpool face Stoke at Anfield, Leicester travel to play Sunderland and Spurs host Man Utd. Not the best Super Sunday ever, but a decent one at that.
There are many considerations in the Liverpool vs Stoke game, but in the cards market I believe I have found a great bet:
Liverpool vs Stoke: Liverpool Over 1.5 Cards @ 13/8 (1600 KO – NAP)
I’ve not delved into the cards market in a while, but today I see a good enough reason to. Liverpool’s season, league wise – is all but over. Little to play for other than the odd place. With Dortmund coming on Thursday, this will be seen as a chance to rest players. Jordan Henderson is out for the season, and Emre Can is suspended, meaning there is a shortage of Central Midfielders. Milner is likely to be partnered by the Welsh Xavi (Joe Allen) who isn’t one to fill fans with confidence.
Roberto Firmino is likely to play a part, while Jordan Ibe and Daniel Sturridge are among those expected to feature. Kolo Toure and John Flanagan could also come in for rested defenders – and if the rest of Europe’s remaining hopefuls are anything to go by, there will be changes. I’m half expecting a disjointed performance. The team playing them are no pushovers – Stoke have taken the Reds to penalties in the Cup this season, while also beat them 6-1 at the end of the last campaign. They have only increased the amount of flair players in their armoury and are a real danger. In front of the Kop, Liverpool have a tough afternoon ahead.
For this reason – I’m expecting cards. Milner is often a walking booking, while with the likes of Coutinho, Firmino and Sturridge are all partial to the odd dive, 2 cards is certainly on the cards. In their last 10 games, they have picked up 2 or more on 7 occasions. With Bojan, Shaqiri, Afellay and the likes being very tricky, skilful players – I think there will be a lot of niggly fouls and with a few slow players among the Liverpool side, cards could be inevitable!
This market is available on Bet365. William Hill have a variety, but if you cannot access cards markets, BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/5 is my Next Best.
Sunderland vs Leicester: Leicester Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 5/4 (1330 KO)
Potentially Leicester’s easiest game of their 6 left. A Sunderland side error prone, but threatening with the likes of Defoe and Borini going forward. They have won their last four games 1-0, beaten some stern opposition – but this time for me, they could do some damage. Sunderland will be no pushovers, beating Man Utd recently and so nearly robbing Man City of points – but time and time again their back four let them down, while in their last game against West Brom they had enough chances to score more than Charlie Sheen, but ultimately failed.
As mentioned, Leicester have been racking up the win to nil’s – but a Sunderland managed by Sam Allardyce is a tough nut to crack. Riyad Mahrez has gone quiet of late, and Jamie Vardy’s goals have dried up a little – so Sunderland will smell a chance to grab desperately needed points. Both sides are likely to be unchanged, so we are looking for the goals to return for both sides.
Ultimately – I expect a Leicester win. They have done so well of late, despite all the pressure put on them with all sorts of classic cliche’s (Gael wasn’t one of them) – but I have a feeling they will concede. This game ended 4-2 last time out, and for me the perfect game for Vardy to find the net again. Risk of a draw, but going for Leicester to score 2 or more @ 5/4.
The double pays around the 4.5/1 mark
All the best