Not a brilliant start to the international period – just one correct tip in 8! Slovenia conceded late against a shocking Lithuania side, while England fell one short against Estonia. Ukraine won to nil, but then Slovakia lost 1-0 to 10 man Belarus, somehow!
Going back to the domestic footy today – some excellent value on both match result and BTTS + Over 2.5 markets, so I am going for a combo of both:
1. Bromley Win @ 13/10 vs Barrow (National League, 1500 KO – NAP)
Bromley have won 5 out of 7 home games so far, scoring 15 goals. They are one of, if not the highest scorers in the league but have tendencies to let a few in too. However – they face a Barrow side who have lost 5 of their 7 away games, conceding 16. With the league’s top scorer, Ademola – in their ranks, I’d very much fancy Bromley to win this one, and 13/10 is a strong price!
2. Carlisle-Morecambe BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 (League 2, 1500 KO)
Carlisle have scored 20 and conceded 19 in their 11 games, while Morecambe have scored 20 and conceded 21 – so if there is not goals in this I will happily eat my Natcho hat! It’s a meet of the two highest scorers in the league, and with Jabo Ibehere in there too – the leagues top scorer – it’s a no-brainer! Morecambe have 7 BTTs + Over 2.5 Goals in their 11 league games, while Carlisle have 10 in their 15 games overall. Great price for it!!
3. Swindon-Peterborough BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (League One, 1500 KO)
This again should be a goal-fest. Swindon are in poor form, but boast a record of 34 goals in total this season (16 scored, 18 conceded) while Peterborough have scored 21 and conceded 19. Both have a record of 8 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals in their 11 league games, while 4 of their last 5 meetings have ended in such fashion (Three 2-1’s and a 2-2). You will be unlucky to see this lose!
4. Gillingham-Chesterfield BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5 (League One, 1500 KO)
Gillingham started well, but have dropped off of late. They have conceded in every away game this season, while have conceded in their last 6 games overall. Their BTTS + Over 2.5 record reads 7/14 in all competitions. Chesterfield were expected to do well this season but have started poorly – 8 BTTS + Over 2.5 in 13 games, and 6 in 11 league games. At home, 18 goals in 5 games – with 4 BTTS + Over 2.5 in those. Gillingham average exactly 2 goals per game in the league (22 in 11) while have conceded at 1.09 per game (12 in 11) while Chesterfield both score and concede at an average of 1.5 per game (15 scored, 16 conceded). Both average over 3 goals per game, so for me terrific value .
My suggested double would be 1 + 2 @ 4/1, while the acca pays 20/1 with Bet365 – and if you want a little extra, there is one more game I fancy:
5. Belgium -4 Goal Handicap @ 7/4 vs Andorra (Euro 2016 Qualifier, 1945 KO)
This has been mentioned in preview’s across the last few days. Belgium face one of the minnows who they beat 6-0 last time, and I’m expecting much of the same. 30 conceded in 8 – and a win against this side would confirm their place in France next summer. No matter what team they put out, Belgium should pass this team to death, and in the final 30 minutes most of the team left on will be knackered. 5-6 goals is a conservative estimate – could be anything, but -4 is well priced, if not a little generous @ 7/4.
That takes the accumulator price to 57/1 – and if all goes well a nice cashout sum could be available after the 3pm games!
Best of luck