Been a pretty average week for me for the first time ever; no OAP birthday parties, no speeding tickets and no fines for indecent exposure! Pretty boring actually – I’ll make up for it next week and go round kicking children or something. Midweek selections were a letdown with only one from four landing (GET IN JUVE!), Hull took an early lead and Cardiff dominated for the remainder of the match seemingly destined to grab the goal we needed…. it wasn’t to be as Hull scored a second against the run of play. Malmo as stated was a very very risky bet but the price was positive and i fancied their style to ruffle PSG and so on and so forth. I’m hoping the lack of shenanigans this past week has provided is all building up to me running around the living room with my Border Collie doing our ‘guess who’s bets just won’ dance.
Anyway here’s the BTTS selections for Saturday!
BTTS AT A GLANCE
Aston Villa V West Brom – 11/10
Hull V QPR – Evens
Udinese V Empoli – 21/20
Gateshead V Welling – Evens
Aston Villa vs West Brom @ 11/10 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premier League)
Aston Villa are a great team to back in the BTTS market this year, scoring in four from five games. The only game they have failed to hit the net, was against Man Utd and they have conceded in all games except when playing newly promoted Bournemouth on opening day of the season. Aston villa have been involved in three BTTS in five games (60%). West Brom have stuttered from day one, scoring only in two games from five. In fairness they haven’t had the easiest five games in the opening month; four coming against Manchester City, Chelsea, Southampton and Stoke. Aston Villa would struggle to keep a clean sheet at home to San Marino at the moment and West Brom are too good a side to keep scoring such a little amount of goals all season, with the transfer window firmly in the past and the Berahino saga put to bed; at least until January the goalscorer will be looking to settle and just keep interest in him Hot. If West Brom are going to score goals it’s going to come in games like this.
Hull vs QPR @ Evens (15:00 KO, English Championship)
Hull’s midweek 2-0 victory over Cardiff means they have now scored in six games from seven in the championship, scoring a total of 10 goals and three from seven have been BTTS (43%). The issue with Hull is; they are able to take a lead and hold a lead which was evident in the game at Cardiff, having said that they have conceded in four games from seven so they are hardly Man City!. QPR have now scored in six from seven games, been involved in five BTTS (71%) and scored a total of 13 goals. QPR have only kept one clean sheet this season. I honestly thought in my last tips that Cardiff would be strong enough in terms of attacking to breach the Hull defence and in fairness they should have a fair few times!, But with QPR they’re goalscoring record speaks for itself, as does their goals conceded. Good price on this one.
Udinese vs Empoli @ 21/20 (19:45 KO, Italian Serie A)
Udinese Haven’t had a great start to the campaign scoring one goal in three matches. They took three points in their opening game against Juventus with a 1-0 win. This goalscoring drought wont last long when you look back to the tail end of last season, in nine games they failed to score in one. Udinese should be confident that they can win this one at home and i don’t see them failing to score against this Empoli defence. Empoli Have played three games this season; every one of them finishing BTTS. Empoli have scored four in three games, and conceded seven. Its worth noting that in the last seven meetings between the two teams, four have been BTTS and Udinese have scored in all seven.
Gateshead vs Welling @ Evens (15:00 KO, English Conference National)
The Conference National is already 10 games into it’s season!. In their opening 10 games Gateshead have scored in nine failing to hit the net away at Bromley. Gateshead have kept two clean sheets and been involved in seven BTTS (70%). Welling have scored in six of their opening 10 games and conceded in all 10. In the last four meetings between the two sides; three matches have finished 1-1, the only game which didn’t finish BTTS was a 2-0 victory for Welling. For some reason Welling enjoy playing Gateshead and I expect goals in this one. Evens is a decent price.
The above as a four-fold pays roughly 16-1.