So, pretty much the last full set of tips this season. With the Copa America and European Under 21’s coming up, most leagues are ending today. The likes of Sweden, Norway and Iceland continue, and with most players not involved with the above, means there should be some good value there over the summer. Today I have a corners double, but cannot find much else – but have a risky Win + BTTS bet, with a 15/1 double and an option to extent into a massive treble!
Corners Double @ 4/1
1. Genoa -1 Corner @ 13/10 vs Sassuolo (Serie A, 1945 KO) (NAP)
To me, this looks a sound bet. Genoa are in amazing form, with 7 wins in their last 10 games, and with a little luck they could get automatic qualification into the Europa League. Sassuolo have nothing to play for, with their safety assured for another season. Here are the stats:
- Last 10 Games: 82 Corners (For), 58 Corners (Against)
- Corner Match Won: 7/10 (More than opposition in the game)
- Corners Match Won by -1 or better: 6/10
In 7 of their last 10 games, there has been more than 12 corners – but even that is only 5/6 with Bet365 – very little value, and Sassuolo have had 6 games in their last 10 stay under 10.5 corners. Lets look at their stats:
- Last 10 Games: 39 Corners (For), 59 Corners (Against)
- Corners Match Lost: 7/10
- Corners Match Lost by -1 or worse: 6/10
Even when low scoring in terms of corners, they often still lose (6-4 a few times) but recently they have taken a beating in that market – with results such as 11-4, 10-4 and 9-4 to the opposition. Previous games between the two give nothing away – Genoa won 9-4 in one game, lost 8-2 in another and it was 4-4 in the only other meeting.
2. Lazio-Napoli Over 10.5 Corners @ Evens (Serie A, 1945 KO)
Both of these two often have games with a load of corners, and with around 4-5 teams in the top 7 still playing for position, it could be an interesting game. Odds are very good for this one, and here is why:
- Lazio – 83 Corners in last 10 games, 10.5+ in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Napoli – 10+ in 7 of their last 10 games.
- Previous Meets – 10+ in last two meetings in recent Cup tie
Win + BTTS Selections @ 15/1 and 47/1
1. Genoa Win + BTTS @ 3/1 (Serie A, 1945 KO)
Genoa have won 5 of their last 6 games, and all five have been Win + BTTS! They are banging in the goals, but leaking at the back too, with between 1 and 2 going in each game, but scoring 3-5. Sassuolo have lost 3 games + BTTS in their last 10, with BTTS coming in in 6 of the 10 games. Previous two meetings have been 3-3 and 4-2.
2. AIK Win + BTTS @ 3/1 vs Helsningborg (Allsvenskan, 1400 KO)
AIK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two by 2 goals to 1, as well as 2 games in their last 5 at home in the league this season. Helsingborg have lost 3 of their last 5 games + BTTS, and 3 in a row away – so there is good history behind this game.
3. Salzburg Win + BTTS @ 2/1 vs Austria Vienna (Austrian Bundesliga, 1530 KO)
Salzburg have gone off the boil recently with several draws, but they are still winning the majority of games. Both have nothing to play for, but a win in this game could set the tone for the midweek cup final between the same two sides. Salzburg have won the last two meetings 4-2 and 3-1, and with Vienna having an awful season, they could be more focussed on the midweek game – so both could rest players
Like mentioned, the first two are my favoured double, as both should be high scoring games and have a history of that too, with Salzburg looking good value but recent weeks have weakened confidence in them from punters. You never know though, so if you fancy a bigger punt, it could be worth a shot!
The month or so I have had a lot of success on sunday’s, with 12.5/1, 15/1 and 17.5/1 doubles as well as a 20/1 treble – obviously cannot guarantee anything, but they have all been in bets like these, with Win + BTTS pulling in the big odds! Last weekend both Sturm Graz and Elfsborg won 2-1 in their respective games to land us a 15/1 double…
Best of luck for the day’s games – all odds were correct as of 7.30am on Bet365 this morning.