Despite the main NAP winning, which was Hungary DNB @ 6/4, the rest flopped – including Argentina blowing a 2 goal lead against Paraguay in what would have been a 2nd NAP win. It was a mash-up of poor performances – the likes of Serbia were just awful!
Anyway – moving onto Sunday, and three terrific bits of value in the Euro 2016 Qualifiers that was in the Preview:
1. England Over 1.5 Team Goals @ Evens vs Slovenia (1700 KO)
England have bagged 15 goals in 5 qualifiers so far, and only failed to score 2 in the Estonia game. Against Slovenia last time they needed to concede first to find top gear, racing into a 3-1 lead. Slovenia are a shoe-in for a playoff place, with Switzerland likely to race clear of them in the final few games. With a few new players coming into the squad/team, there will be added incentive for those to impress, so I’m expecting another 2/3 goals from England on Sunday afternoon.
2. Switzerland -1 Goal @ 11/10 vs Lithuania (1945 KO) (NAP)
Switzerland won this game 4-0 last time out, and are getting better. Lithuania have lost the last three group games, all by -1 goal at least. With Drmic, Shaqiri, Stocker and more leading the line, I’m expecting 3 goals minimum – and -1 goal @ 11/10 amazing value! Win + Over 2.5 Goals is 13/10, but sticking with my gut on this one, as a 2-0 win would still see -1 goal win, but win + over 2.5 lose.
3. Spain Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20 vs Belarus (1945 KO)
Spain should dispose of Belarus easily, like they did last time in 3-0 win. They were also paired for the 2014 World Cup quals, where Spain also won 2-1 and 4-0. Belarus are full of unknown’s, but still shouldn’t pose too much threat to the mighty Spain, and their army of talent. We could see Paco Alcacer get a start, with the Valencia striker in excellent form last season!
4. Estonia-San Marino Under 2.5 Goals @ 6/4 (1700 KO)
This is a late one I found – and a very good bet. In Estonia’s last 10 games, 8 have stayed under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 draw against San Marino in November. San Marino mainly lose by a tonne, but against some weaker opposition they have held their own, losing just 2-0 to Lithuania and 1-0 to Liechtenstein. I see a very boring game to come, and even if Estonia take the lead, they won’t be pushing for a load. Can see a safe 2-0 Estonia win.
I have found two other risky bet’s, and as you all know I do love a Win + BTTS double – this Sunday it’s 43/1!
1. Fluminense Win + BTTS @ 11/1 vs Palmeiras (2000 KO, Brazilian Serie A/Campeonato)
Yes, it’s 11/1…but Fluminense have won the last 7 meetings, and 4 of these have been Win + BTTS. Fluminense are sat in the top 6, while Palmeiras are struggling. Maybe the bookies have overpriced this, either way it’s worth the risk!
2. Valur Reykjavik Win + BTTS @ 13/5 vs Keflavik (2015 KO, Icelandic PL)
Keflavik have lost 8 of their last 10 games, while Valur have won 5/10 – and this meet always brings goals! 3-3 earlier this year, and a couple of Win + BTTS for Valur (inc 2-1 and 5-1 in the last 5 games). They have won 3 in a row – so are in top form! I found this price on PaddyPower – it’s not on Will Hill or Bet365 but I can ask for the price from them and hope for a reply.
Obviously the higher priced double is 43/1, but as for the first 4 tips – this is what I would suggest depending on what you plan to do, weather it be a double or treble:
1. NAP – 2 @ 11/10
2. Double – 2 + 3 @ 3.5/1
3. Treble – 1, 2 + 3 @ 9/1
4. Acca – All Four @ 23/1
Best of luck!