A better day yesterday with my top two tips both landing in 3-2 wins for Basel and Jablonec. Today there is a tonne of good football on, but it is tough to pick what I am certain of. Here are my picks for the day:
1. Jagiellonia Win @ Evens vs Termalica B-B (1430 KO, Polish Ektraklasa)
Jagiellonia’s home form is simply amazing. In their last 10 home games they have won 7 and drawn 3, scoring a tonne of goals too. Termalica have just been promoted and were beaten 1-0 in their opening game, while Jagiellonia lost 3-2 away from home. With Europe out of the way, I think they will get back to winning ways in the league.
2. Fjolnir-Fylkir BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/5 (2015 KO, Icelandic Pepsidelid)
This game has a long history of goals, the last time both did not score was 2009 and there has been 11 games and 49 goals. Both are in a spell of indifferent form and both are losing games, conceding plenty and scoring a few. Bet365 are currently pricing this up so keep an eye on our Twitter feed! Replace with Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 if the market is not added in time.
3. Beroe Win @ 13/10 vs Lok Plovdiv (1900 KO, Bulgarian AFPG)
Beroe have won the last three meetings – 3-0, 3-0 and 3-0. Having been knocked out of Europe, their focus will be back on the league – and today they play a team whom they have a great record against. 4 wins in the last 5 meets, 11 goals scored and very few conceded. Plovdiv have lost 4 of their last 5 home games, conceding plenty. This is a very good bet!
4. Rosenborg Over 2.5 Team Goals @ Evens vs Sandefjord (1900 KO, Norwegian Tippeligaen) (NAP)
Rosenborg have a great record against Sandefjord, scoring 3 or more in four of their last 5 meetings. It’s top vs bottom, and with Rosenborg scoring 43 in 16 games, and Sandefjord conceding 37 in 16 games – you feel that it could be the game where the Norwegian champs explode. The last 5 meetings have seen between 3 and 5 scored on four occasions – which is a good reason to back this bet. Rosenborg have the best firepower in the league, and against the weakest defence. If they don’t score 3 there is something wrong!
With the Icelandic game not yet priced, I will simply suggest a double and acca – but if in the unlikely circumstance they do not, replace with over 2.5 goals @ 4/5. All four have their merits, here are my tips:
1. NAP – 4 @ 1/1
2. Double – 3 + 4 @ 3.6/1
3. Acca – All Four @ 21/1
Best of luck!