Decent day yesterday with a 5/1 double winner, but both card bets lost – so an average on on reflection. All BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals picks were BTTS, but all failed to get a 3rd goal. Today I have gone against my Preview on 3 counts as I found some flaws with a few of them and better value elsewhere. Here are my four bets for today:
1. Inter Milan -1 Corner Handicap @ 11/10 vs Carpi (1945 KO, Serie A – NAP)
I really expect Inter to dominate against newly promoted Carpi – who despite dominating Sampdoria, lost 5-2. Inter won 1-0 against a strong Atalanta side, and on corners in fantastic style. Despite a few outgoings, they have new Croatian sensation Brozovic, as well as the likes of Maruo Icardi, Miranda, Jeison Murillo, Kondogbia, Hernanes and plenty more. They are building a very strong team – and with that in mind I feel they will dominate proceedings and rack up plenty of corners against a defensively weak Carpi team. They met over the summer and won 4-2, so I’m also expecting goals which will also feature in today’s tips.
2. Astra Win @ 13/10 vs Petrolul (1630 KO, Romanian Liga I)
Astra are in great form – close to the top of the league and scoring plenty of goals. Petrolul have gone through some financial difficulties and were docked points, and are in very poor form with 7 points from 8 games. Astra have won 4 on the trott, and the last meeting between the two sides 2-1. A good deal of the Petrolul squad from when they were a title contender have gone, so a lot of the previous fixtures can be discounted really. 13/10 a great price!
3. Cracovia Win @ 6/4 vs Gornik Zabre (1430 KO, Polish Ekstraklasa)
Cracovia have won 3 of their 6 games so far this season and sit 2nd behind Piast in the table. Gornik have failed to win so far, losing 4 of their 6 games. Interestingly, Cracovia have won their three away games, but have failed to win at home. This is fantastic value!
4. Man Utd Over 5.5 Corners @ 11/10 (1600 KO, Premier League)
Man Utd have done well so far this season, but have not really hit top form, nor have they really been pushed in any game. Today they face a Swansea team who have beaten them regularly over the last 3 seasons, and are in good form with dangermen all over the pitch. With Swansea likely to push Man Utd all the way today, I feel at some point Utd could find themselves behind and really having to take a strangehold of the game – hence why I believe their corner count will rise nicely. They have had as many as 10-15 in previous meetings with the Swans, so I think today they will get at least 6.
As a double – I believe the corner duo (1 + 4) is a great price @ 3.5/1, while the Accumulator is around 20/1.
A piece of advice if you cannot get some of these markets – attempt to contact the bookmaker you are with and ask for a price on the markets are a lot of the time they will try and get one. Failing that, join up with Bet 365 who I feel are the best online bookie who offer the most prices. This is by no means a plug, but just a helpful tip as we get all of our prices from them as the vast majority of our readers bet with them, making it a little easier.
Anyway – best of luck – big Win + BTTS acca coming up very shortly!