Another very good saturday – 5 wins in the 6 games from our Preview, with Grimsby typically letting us down massively in the daily NAP in a 2-2 draw. 4 of those 5 wins constituted a 5/1 accumulator win with a late Sturm Graz goal against 10-man Grodig sealing it.
In other tips, Jamie had a good day with Vuckic @ 23/20, Suarez + Win @ Evs and Soriano + Sabitzer A/T @ 11/10 all coming through in his 6 picks. For me in the Overs/Unders market – mixed fortune. There were 3/4 really boring 1-0 games, and then Salzburg-Neustadt Over 4.5 Goals landed @ 6/4 as well as PSV-Heerenveen Over 3.5 Goals @ Evs also coming in.
Today, I have 6 games as usual – making a 25/1 accumulator and a 12.5/1 double:
1. Tottenham Win @ 13/10 vs Newcastle (NAP) (1600 KO, Premier League)
We covered this pretty extensively in the preview, but to recap – Spurs have won 3 of the last 5 games, 2 of those 4-0. Newcastle have lost 5/5, scoring in just one and conceding 9. I can see an easy Spurs win.
2. Sevilla Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 6/5 vs Granada (1600 KO, La Liga)
Sevilla really have a good record against Granada. 5 wins in the last 5 meetings, and scoring at least 2 in all 5. Granada have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 games, as well as 9 vs Real Madrid.
3. Ajax Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 23/20 vs NAC Breda (1330 KO, Dutch Eredivisie)
NAC are in pretty bad form, not particularly losing all games but always conceding plenty – 3 or more in 3 of their last 5 away games. Ajax have a great record at home – especially against this side, having scored 18 in their last 5 home games vs NAC, with 5, 4 and 4 very recently! Only once have they failed to score more than 3 in their last 5 home games, while also putting 5 past them earlier this year.
4. Valladolid Win to Nil @ 7/5 vs Sabadell (1715 KO, Spanish Segunda)
Valladolid have won 4 of their last 5 home games, and three of those to nil against teams in the top half. Sabadell are 2nd bottom of the league, having failed to score in any of their last 5 away games, losing 2 and drawing three – and four of those five sides are in the bottom half
As for the 12.5/1 Double:
1. Club Brugge Win + BTTS @ 11/4 vs Anderlecht (1700 KO, Belgian Jupiler League)
Anderlecht have lost + BTTS in 3 of their last 5 games both overall and away from home. Brugge have beaten both Liege and Anderlecht in the last month by such a scoreline (Win + BTTS) as well as winning 3/5 at home against this side, and two of those Win + BTTS
2. Tottenham HT-FT @ 13/5 vs Newcastle (1600 KO, PL)
A different bet, but much better value. Newcastle have lost 15 games this season, and 11 of those they have been behind at HT and FT (this bet, basically). Of Spurs’ 16 wins, 10 have come via this method. NUFC have conceded 24 goals in the first half in the PL this season – under half of their goals but proof enough is in the other stat – if they are losing at HT, they pretty much always lose. Only once have they turned it around to win.
Best of luck for today!