Can’t seem to buy a slice of luck in the last week or so. 1/3 yesterday, with the BTTS landing, the BTTS + Over 2.5 having so many chances but neither Shakhtar or Rapid could muster more than a goal. Celtic-Malmo had 6 corners by half time, but only 3 more after that.
Today brings around the first leg of the Europa League final qualifyers – I have picked four bets I feel look good value:
1. Astra-AZ Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20 (1700 KO)
Astra have had over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 games, while AZ have had over 2.5 in 8 of their last 10 games. Astra disposed of West Ham in the last round, with over 2.5 in both games. AZ had a tough game in Istanbul Buyuksehir, but overcame them in the end, and with this being a more even tie for both sides, I like this!
2. St Etienne HT-FT @ 11/10 vs Milsami (1830 KO)
St Etienne hammered a poor Targu Mures side in the last round, while Milsami lost 2-0 twice to Skenderbeu, so I cannot see them doing any better in this. They played a season or so ago at the same stage and St Etienne won both legs 3-0. 4/9 for the win, but I think they will bag a couple early.
3. Ajax-Jablonec BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (1800 KO)
Ajax faced Rapid Vienna in the Champions League quals and lost after 2-2 and 3-2 results. Jablonec impressively beat Copenhagen over 2 legs – 3-2 in the 2nd and a 1-0 loss in the 1st. Should be a high scorer – for me a very good bet!
4. Bilbao Win to Nil @ 7/4 vs Zilina (1915 KO)
Bilbao disposed of Barcelona over the 2 leg Spanish Super Cup (Charity Shield type competition) and despite losing a few players to injury they should beat an average Zilina team who conceded 3 to a very average Vorskla Poltova. They beat Baku 2-0 in the first leg and drew the 2nd 0-0, but there was never much doubting they would keep a clean sheet
The NAP is the main tip, however the double of 1 + 2 @ 3.2/1 looks very good. 1-3 Treble pays around 8/1, while the Acca will pay around 25/1.
Best of luck for the day!!