Football Tips // Thursday


Good morning all!

Well, what a day yesterday! All four tips landed @ Evs, 6/4, 11/8 and Evs – so the NAP, double, treble and acca all won @ 1/1, 4/1, 9/1 and 23/1. How can we top that? Well, with great difficulty – but we will give it a go! Here are my four selections for the day – two are 1200 kick offs in the Finnish league:

1. HJK Helsinki Win + BTTS @ 12/5 vs Mariehamn (Finnish Veikkausliiga, 1200 KO)

HJK have started the season in their usual form…top notch! They sit top of the table and host Mariehamn, who are 3rd and have equally impressive form. Now, in the last 5 games between the two, HJK have won all 5 – three of these were Win + BTTS – 5-1, 6-1 and 2-1. BTTS is 11/10, but I feel even if both score, HJK will win. Both have conceded 4 goals in the opening 6 games (7 for HJK) so are not impregnable. Very much a top value tip for the day! If you are not comfortable having such a high priced tip in, BTTS is a slightly safer option @ 11/10

2. SJK -1 Goal Handicap @ 6/5 vs VPS Vaasa (Finnish Veikkausliiga, 1200 KO)

SJK sit between HJK and Mariehamn, and bar a loss right at the start of the season have won pretty much every game – the last three home games have been 5-0, 2-0 and 1-0. VPS have lost every games so far, conceding 9 in 5 games. In recent games between these two, BTTS has not happened in the last 5 games, with SJK winning 3-0 in the last meeting – but SJK have won 4 out of 5, all to nil, which is below Evens, and not brilliant value.

3. Napoli -2 Corner Handicap @ 6/5 vs Dnipro (Europa League, 2005 KO) (NAP)

Last time out in this fixture, Napoli had 14 corners to Dnipro’s solitary one. They will be really pushing for the win, and somehow did not win last time. This bet was found on PaddyPower – Bet365 are being useless at the moment and have not priced up corners at all. William Hill have them at the same price. For me, with a forward line consisting of the likes of Higuain, Zapata, Callejon, Mertens and more – they should really be hammering on the door, and with Dnipro’s keeper keeping them at bay for a while, the same could happen again!

The treble pays 15.5/1, while if you go with BTTS instead of HJK + BTTS its more along the lines of 9/1 – totally upto you, but like I said if both score, HJK are still likely to smash them. The 2 + 3 bet pays 3.9/1 – which again if you want smaller, less riskier bet that is a good shout – since we have had 3 consecutive double’s winners @ 3/1, 3/1 and 4/1.

I hope these reach you nice and early – with two 1200 kick offs included today which is very rare!

Best of luck