Well – I thought we couldn’t get more unlucky that wednesday, but it happened. Sparta-CSKA BTTS + Over 2.5 – landed @ 6/5. HJK-Astana BTTS @ 13/8 – Landed (amazing price for a BTTS game, bookies really didn’t expect a 7 goal thriller), Qarabag -1 Corner @ 11/8 (7-1, landed). Lastly, Steaua Bucharest. 1-0 down after 5 minutes, 2-1 up by half time. Red card early in the 2nd and capitulated. Lost 4-2 and cost us what could even have been a 12.5/1 treble, and a 32/1 accumulator.
With that firmly behind us, we move onto today and the Europa League. We managed 4/6 last week, with a Sampdoria 4-0 loss being the killer blow. Here are my four picks for today – plus 2 more if you want a bigger accumulator:
1. Rubin Kazan-Sturm Graz BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5 (1700 KO)
We picked this bet out last week and it landed inside 45 minutes, and ended 3-2. In Kazan today, I expect more of the same. Neither will have learned how to defend in a week, and Kazan losing yet again. Sturm drew 1-1, so both conceded yet again. I fancy this to be a very similar game, with Graz needing goals as Kazan have 3 away goals.
2. Zilina Draw No Bet @ 2/1 vs Vorskla (1800 KO)
I picked this game as well last week – Zilina won 2-0 @ 11/10 and even away from home they are in amazing form. Vorskla didn’t ever look like beating them last week, yet alone scoring – even missing a penalty, so why they are 5/7 favourites is beyond me. Zilina @ 10/3 is a huge price, but Draw No Bet @ 2/1 is even better.
3. Southampton Win @ 13/10 vs Vitesse (1900 KO)
Ronald Koeman has promised a strong team again, with the likes of Rodriguez and Caulker possibly playing. Vitesse are 3-0 down and out. One goal for the Saints and they need 5. They may play a different lineup, with a few Chelsea players in, and I see Southampton winning easily.
4. At Bilbao -1 Goal Handicap @ 5/4 vs Inter Baku (1700 KO)
Bilbao won 2-0 in the first leg, and could have had about 6, with ease. Baku might put up more of a fight at home, but will be chasing the game from the off. Bilbao should dispatch of them no problem – I’m liking a 2/3-0 win, and -1 Goal @ 5/4
5. Astra-West Ham BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10 (1900 KO)
West Ham really aren’t taking this seriously. Resting all their best players for the weekend match vs Arsenal, and sending a 2nd string to a tough Romanian side in Astra. I can see them going out, but another game with plenty of goals. I think both will score, but Astra will score more, a 2-1 win.
6. Copenhagen-Jablonec BTTS @ Evens (1845 KO)
Copenhagen got very lucky last week in a 1-0 win where Jablonec really dominated much of the game, and should have scored a couple easily. This time around, I fancy Jablonec to upset Copenhagen and score a couple, while Copenhagen also have enough in their locker to bag a goal or two. BTTS is value @ Evens!
The Top Two as a double pays 5.6/1, while the Fourfold Accumulator pays 35/1. The 6 fold acca pays 150/1!
Best of luck!