Another mixed day yesterday, with 2 winners out of 4 – one of which was another NAP @ 11/10 – Fiorentina won 3-0, meaning Win to Nil was a successful bet. Djurgarden won 3-2 in another, while Orgryte drew 0-0 despite dominating for much of the game. Napoli corners bet failed, with just 7 rather than the over 11.5 needed.
Just a note – that’s 9 NAP’s in the last 10!
Today there are 3 games – I was tempted by an Argentine cup game, but sticking with my rules about avoiding Cup games. Here are my three bets:
1. Valladolid Win @ 11/10 vs Barcelona B (Spanish Segunda, 2000 KO) (NAP)
Valladolid have won the last 4 meetings between the two, with Barca B being very close to relegation. Valladolid are unbeaten in 6, but have won 1/5 away – some really tough games in there though including Betis. Barca have lost 5/10 at home, winning just 2, with a similar record overall. The last meeting ended 7-0 to Valladolid, and with a win they will secure a playoff place.
2. Trencin HT-FT @ 10/11 vs B Bystrica (Slovakian Fortuna Liga, 1615 KO)
Trencin are amazing…Champions League next season, well qualifying rounds that is – one more win in the last 3 should tie up a title for them. They, in all comps, have won 14 in a row, 9 of those to nil, an about 10 HT-FT! They face a Bystrica team who have lost 4 of their last 5 home games, and in terms of matches between the sides – 4 wins in 5 for Trencin, 3 of those HT-FT. A smudge under evens – top price!
3. Falkenbergs-Kalmar Over 2.5 Goals @ 43/40 (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1800 KO)
These two have a historic record of over 2.5 goals. In the 3 meetings in the last 18 months (before that is was about 10 years before they last met) all three have gone over 2.5, with Kalmar winning all three. In the 7 meets since 1998, 6 have gone over 2.5 goals. Kalmar are in poor form though, to be fair both are! Falkenbergs’ games are full of goals – a 3-3 draw with Malmo the most memorable. They have had 4 over 2.5’s in their last 5 games, while Kalmar have had just 2 in 5, but with two weak defences, and decent attacks – I see goals!
With three games – bar the NAP the double I would suggest, and obviously all three in a treble:
1. Valladolid @ 11/10 + Trencin HT-FT @ 3/1
2. All Three – 7.5/1
Bar those three I did not see terrific value anywhere else – like mentioned there was an Argentine cup game, as well as a Turkish cup game – but avoiding both as they are too risky, as we all know what cups can throw up – surprises!
Best of luck