Yesterday did not go to plan – none of my 4 selections came off, despite all being good value. Valencia scored 2 in the first half, and was set to land but Alvaro Negredo netted in injury time late in the 2nd half…swine. Liverpool couldn’t muster a 3rd against Newcastle, Emmen won 2-0 vs Jong Ajax, who’s side boasted some first team players like Viktor Fischer and Richairo Zivkovic but could not find the net. Angers drew 0-0, despite dominating, so we were along the right lines, just lacking a little luck.
Today looks very good – I have 4 tips that indivudually stand out, as well as a good looking 20/1 Accumulator
1. Real Madrid Over 3.5 Cards @ 11/10 (NAP) (Champions League, 1945 KO) – Bet365
This one is usually feisty. In the last 5 games between the two, there have been a combined 46 cards with both teams getting 4+ a combined 9 times (Real only got 2 in the 4-0 loss earlier this year). Both teams are 11/10 to go Over 3.5 Cards, so you could pick either and it’s a good chance it will happen. Regardless of how the game is going, weather close or, like last time, 4-0 – there is a lot of bad blood and rivalry between the two, so tackles fly. This is easily my NAP for today!
2. Derby Over 2.5 Team Goals @ Evens vs Blackpool (Championship, 1945 KO) – Various Bookies
Derby have gone through a rough patch recently, where they have faced most of their rivals, dropping from the auto-promotion spots to the final playoff spots. Blackpool are down, and despite a spirited performance on the weekend, they looked like conceding every time Ipswich attacked. They lost 3-2, and have conceded 3+ in 3 of their last 5 away games. Derby have scored 3+ in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two, and with the likes of Tom Ince leading the line, along with Chris Martin and many others who have been in fine form until recently, I see them scoring a hat-full!
3. Middlesbrough-Wolves BTTS @ Evens (Championship, 1945 KO) – Various Bookies
Boro have won 5 home games in a row, while Wolves have won 4 of their last 5 games overall, so both in great form. The two games Boro have lost recently have been to Watford and Bournemouth, while Wolves sit on the peripheral of the promotion/playoffs. Wolves have won the last two meetings, and with a record of 4/5 BTTS games in their last 5 away, and Benik Afobe currently sitting at 30+ goals this season, you can see why we think they will score. Boro have conceded once in 5 home games, but have not faced another team as in form as Wolves are, hence this tip.
4. Bournemouth Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/8 vs Reading (Championship, 1945 KO) – Various Bookies
Bournemouth are so close to promotion, but are just one point ahead of Norwich and Watford, and two ahead of Middlesbrough. No slipping up now! Reading will have one eye on the Arsenal FA Cup Semi on the weekend, so we are expecting Eddie Howe’s men to make no mistakes. The last three, and most recently meetings in the last 2 seasons have ended 3-0, 3-1 and 2-1, so we have confidence in this bet at what is a fantastic price!
I did not look too much below the Championship – value looked a little iffy. With just a couple of games to go, there is much to play form which makes my job a little easier, since when certain teams are already up, and already down – it can be a minefield!
Best of luck!