Picked both wins in the Champions League last night, but Burton again ruined our Tip with a limp 1-0 loss to Accrington. Today we have picked just three games – an 11/1 treble that we think stands a great chance:
1. Arsenal Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 15/8
So effectively what we want here is a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Arsenal. They have a good defence, with just one goal let in in their last 5 home games in all comps. Monaco on the other hand have a fantastic defence, and usually win by a goal without conceding. We do think Arsenal will win this in a close game – either of the scores we mentioned. BTNTS @ 4/7 is a very low price, hence why we have gone with Arsenal to effectively win to nil.
2. Atletico Madrid Win @ 7/5
Leverkusen are rather hit and miss of late. 3-0 down to Wolfsburg, back to 3-3, and eventually lost 5-4 – sums them up really. Most latter stage games are cagey – and we expect this to be no different. With Mandzukic, Griezmann and Koke running the show up top, I think they will like Arsenal secure a win. This has the potential to be the highest scoring game so far. Trend yesterday was Win + BTTS – but we are staying a little safe.
3. Notts Forest-Bournemouth Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
Forest’s last 4 games have all gone over 2.5 goals. 3 of Bournemouth’s last 5 games have gone over 2.5 goals. Both seem incapable of defending recently, B’mouth losing to Brentford and conceding about 3 goals in the process. Forest have recovered from a very poor run and should well be up for this. Fancy both to score but @ 4/7 there is not much value in it.
Bar these three games there is not a lot else on.
Best of luck