Fantastic start to the week with 2 NAP’s out of 2 – yesterday’s of Altinordu Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 11/10 landed at around the 65 minute mark, eventually winning 3-2. We also had 2/3, with Videoton winning 4-1 but Le Havre-Nimes BTTS failed. The top 2 were the 2 that won – so not a bad day!
Today has a lot of football but little value – but two outstanding value bets that I see:
1. Basel Win + Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 5/4 (NAP) (Swiss Super League, 1845 KO)
Basel are in very good form – bar a surprise loss to Luzern, 4 straight wins overall and 3 wins from 5 away. They face Vaduz, who are one of the poorer teams in the league, and in the 3 meetings so far this season the games have finished 1-0, 3-1 and 4-1 to Basel. All 3 have been dominated with 65%+ possession going to Basel. They were beggining to run away with the league, so that defeat on the weekend could give them the kick up the backside needed for today! Vaduz have lost 3/5 home games recently, and 2/5 overall. There should be plenty of goals – out of Basel’s 29 games so far this season, 21 have gone Over 2.5, with recent 6-1, 4-1 and 5-0 wins over teams better than Vaduz!
Prices: William Hill @ 5/4, Bet365 @ 13/10, Paddy Power @ 13/10
2. AIK Stockholm Win @ 11/10 vs Atvidabergs (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1805 KO)
AIK have started the season well, winning 3/5 games and scoring 2 per game on average. Atvidabergs have lost 4/5 games so far – conceding plenty Historically, or even recently – AIK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 win last month. Previous wins have been 4-1, 3-2 and 3-0 over the past season or two. A 3-2 loss in 2013 was the last time Atvidabergs took anything from the Stockholm side!
The double for today would pay around 3.7/1 – and if the NAP wins it would take us to 16/22 this month and 24/30 overall, a whopping 80%!
Best of luck