We’ve had another quiet week – with work taking up well over 40 hours I really haven’t had a moment spare to get my head into the stats and post something for the Champions League or Europa League.
I have however found a spare hour or two for this weekend – and for the 6-fold have picked out what I think looks good value for the next couple of days.
A mix from England to Italy and Germany – hopefully we can get past the ‘one off’ tag that has haunted me for the past 3 months!
Anyway – here are my 6 matches, paying 23/1 as an accumulator:
Hamburg vs Bayern: Bayern Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 8/11 (Saturday, 1730 KO)
Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim: Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/20 (Sunday, 1700 KO)
Lazio vs Cagliari: Lazio HT-FT @ 8/11 (Sunday, 1945 KO)
Benevento vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 8/11 (Sunday, 1400 KO)
Livorno vs Giana Erminio: Livorno Win @ 11/20 (Sunday, 1530 KO)
Crawley vs Luton: Luton Win @ 3/4 (Saturday, 1500 KO)
Hamburg, Benevento, Crawley and Giana Erminio are all in poor form – and against very strong sides are prime suspects for my accumulator. Bayern haven’t been as good as usual, but against a Hamburg side leaking goals, Lewandowski and co should find form.
Benevento are still pointless, with 8 losses in 8 games – face Fiorentina, who can be a dangerous side on their day, with Federico Chiesa a danger man. Lazio are on fire so far this season, and with Immobile in great shape, another win, or in this case HT-FT win is very possible.
Very Italian based, and home team bias is better – but still good away team value.
This pays around 23/1.
Best of luck