Last day of the month, so lets finish with a bang! All of yesterday’s tips are down – with Chelsea, Zenit and Lazio particularly letting us down. All very poor against sides they should have beaten easily.
Today I was torn – I liked both Zagreb and Sparta Prague, and despite both being in decent form, the problem was if they have a European hangover, and the fact they either have an iffy away record where they are playing, or an slightly iffy away record in general at the moment – both have not been included:
1. Villarreal Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 21/20
2. Ajax Win + Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 11/10*
3. Asteras Win @ 13/10
4. Benfica HT-FT @ 6/5
(* – If you missed the Ajax game, or did not see these tips until the Ajax game – Replace Ajax with Celtic -1 @ 5/4 for a similar if not better price) – this can be a separate tip!
Villarreal face Cordoba, who are rock bottom and struggling to get a win, or even a point. Villarreal played in the EL, so that can cover a potential collapse to say a 2-2 draw, or even a bad start, going 2-0 down. Either way we think 2 goals is minimum what they will score. Ajax face Den Haag, whom they have a good record against, and are in great form anyway – last couple they have won against this side 3-2 and 4-2. 2-1 or 3-0 we think will be the minimum result – barely any games in Holland go under 2.5 goals nowadays.
Benfica play Academica, who they have beaten on 5 of the last 5 meetings, all to nil, between 1 and 4 goals. Not so keen on -1, as it could end 1-0, so we have gone with HT-FT. We think they will take an early lead and either hold onto it or extend it. Lastly, the team replacing the two I was edgy about – Asteras – playing Ergotellis who are in poor form, and at the wrong end of the table. Asteras came from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Besiktas, and despite playing thursday, should win this we think. Here is a cheeky double we also like, for some of these reasons:
1. Villarreal/Benfica -1 Goal @ 7/1
Two sides playing poor opposition – Villarreal 12/5, Benfica 11/8.
Interesting stat here – All 5 of Tottenham’s last 5 matches have ended 2-1.
Spurs 2-1 @ 17/2
Everton 2-1 @ 12/1
Will it happen again? Or is it just coincidence? I think it might, either way – so both are correct score tips for today!
Best of luck