Kieron’s 6 tips for this weekend were posted earlier this morning – these are my 6 for leagues around Europe over Saturday and Sunday.
Plenty of value about – went a bit too far with away teams last weekend so either going with goals, or a few more home results.
Low Risk Bets
Schaffhausen vs Le Mont: Schaffhausen -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 4/5 (Swiss Challenge League, 1400 KO – Sunday)
Schaffhausen have started well with 2 wins out of two. Having looked back at last season they were very good at home, scoring 30 at home – nearly 2 per game. There were plenty where they bagged 3/4 goals – and one was against Le Mont, whom they beat 4-1 and 1-0 last season. When it comes to the away side – they are terrible away – 5 draws and 12 losses in their 17 games last season, and also lost 3-0 in the opening game of the season.
Confidence will be really high for the home side, who have a couple of very handy players upfront who are in great form!
Paks vs Ferencvaros: Ferencvaros Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 4/6 (Hungarian Liga I, 1700 KO – Saturday)
Ferencvaros have started the season well too – 10 scored in their opening 3 games, with a 6-2 win last weekend the highlight. 3-1 and 1-0 wins preceded that, and with their last 5 meetings ending 5-2, 2-0 and 2-1 (home), and 5-0, 1-0 (away) – Paks will be very cautious as they could be taken apart.
Looking at their squad I can see why – Lovrensics has joined from Legia Warsaw, while Djuricin has been loaned to them from Salzburg, and scored 2 in his first 3 games! Add in Roland Varga (10 in 47), Daniel Bode (60 in 120) and Andras Rado, a young winger – and you have a very good team that will no doubt win the league again this season.
Medium Risk Bets
Stabaek vs Haugesund: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (Norwegian Tippeligaen, 1630 KO – Sunday)
This looks an interesting game as you rarely get a bet like this over about 5/6 price wise – but with Stabaek a little goal-shy at home, there is a little bit as to why it is 1/1. However – Haugesund have scored 31 and conceded 29! That is an incredible amount, and add in 10 BTTS + Over 2.5 in their last 15 games – I have high hopes for this.
Their last 2 meetings, a mix of last season and this – 4-1 and 2-2. Stabaek should see this as a chance to get some points on the board as Haugesund are very poor defending.
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg: Rosenborg -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 21/20 (Norwegian Tippeligaen, 1700 KO – Saturday)
Rosenborg have won 9/9 at home, but just 3/8 away – with 4 draws coming recently. No surprise that the Champions League qualifying has taken precedent – but still they are a much better side that Lillestrom, who have lost 7 of their last 10 games, conceding 20 in said 10.
Look at the last 6 meets – 2-1, 5-0, 3-0, 2-0, 3-1 and 3-0 – all to Rosenborg, and looking at their forward options I can see why! Gytkjaer is in great form – scoring at a rate of a goal in every 2 games, while Per Helland has a 1 in 3 ratio. Vilhjalmsson is a pacey winger who causes problems, while Mushaga Bakenga has returned after 4 years at Brugge – and has 2 goals in his first game back!
They should win this, and win well. The Asian handicap gives a little safety, but I think they will romp it!
High Risk Bets
Stabaek vs Haugesund: Haugesund Win @ 11/5 (Norwegian Tippeligaen, 1630 KO – Sunday)
With Stabaek being very poor at home, and Haugesund chasing a top 6 place – I feel they will be a great bet! They have won 5 of their last 10 away games in all comps, and despite their poor goals conceded tally, they are a force going forward. Not a lot of high scorers, but a lot of players chip in and with over 30 goals they are one of the top scorers in the league!
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: Rapid Win + BTTS @ 7/2 (Austrian Bundesliga, 1530 KO – Sunday)
In the last 5 meetings between these two, Rapid have won 1-0, 3-0, 4-1 and 5-2. Both have begun fairly well, with Austria winning 2/2, and Rapid winning the first 5-0, then somehow losing to a Altach.
This is the big derby in Austria – and with both playing in the Europa League on Thursday night, neither have any advantage there. Both have decent squads, but for me Rapid’s is better. An interesting signing is Giorgi Kvilitaia – who has joined recently from Tblisi, where at just 23 he has scored at nearly a goal per game (24 in 29). Add in a host of others they have, including Brazilian Joelinton, who has begun his loan spell very well.
Could be a tetchy one – lots of tackles flying in. I think Rapid will sneak it, maybe 2-1 or 3-2.
Best of luck!