This year I decided to have a crack at Wimbledon, after a lot of success prior to that tournament at events like Queens. With value coming at a premium in many games due to each game having an overwhelming favourite – finding a good market is very hard. However I feel I did a good job for the 2 weeks, with a poor first round but after that very good!
Here is how the 2 weeks went:
Overall – 10/20 (50%)
Correct Set Score – 1/1 (Under 2/1), 0/3 (Over 2/1) – 1/4 (25%)
Under/Over Games – 7/9 (77%)
Over/Under Sets – 1/3 (33%)
Win 1st Set + Match – 0/2 (0%)
Win – 1/2 (50%)
With all tips being Evens or above, it was not bad. Most games throughout the tournament were priced 1/6 etc – so finding a market like the Under/Over games was a good option if you expected a 5 set match, for example. Here are the 10 winners:
1. Stan Wawrinka Win 3-0 (Sets) vs David Goffin @ 11/10
2. Roger Federer Win vs Andy Murray @ Evens
3. Andy Murray-Ivo Karlovic Over 3.5 Sets @ 6/5
4. Denis Kudla-Santiango Giraldo Over 41 Games @ 5/4
5. Andy Murray-Vasek Pospisil Between 28 and 33 Games @ 6/4
6. Novak Djokovic-Richard Gasquet Between 29 and 34 Games @ 7/4
7. Roger Federer-Novak Djokovic Between 40 and 45 Games @ 4/1
8. Stan Wawrinka-Richard Gasquet Over 43 Games @ 11/10
9. James Ward-Vasek Pospisil Over 42 Games @ 5/4
10. Viktor Troicki-Vasek Pospisil Over 42 Games @ 11/10
Vasek Pospisil was a favourite of mine – with 3 winning tips from 3 on his matches. The first two days yielded 1 wins from 7 tips, with myself going for riskier bets. After than – 9 wins from 13 tips, with the Overs/Unders market proving very profitable! It’s a very difficult tournament to call, I saw many a match where the favourite went off the boil completely – the likes of Nadal would have lost peoples thousands.
It’s a very individual sport – football is easier as if one player has an off day, the other 10 can make up for it. No matter how big a favourite you are, there are always shocks – especially over 5 sets, as it is very easy to go off the boil for 15 minutes and it cost you a set! Injuries also play a part – though if a player retires all bets are voided as the game did not come to a natural close – as we found with one of our Nishikori tips.
Thanks for following over the tournament – I hope these tips helped a little in a sport where betting is quite hard!